SGWRCS

The 1^stSino-GermanWorkshop onReliability ofComplexSystems

November 5-6, 2021, Xi’an, China

(Online Workshop)

Organized by

Chairs of Workshop

Prof. Dr. Michael Beer

Professor, head of Institute for Risk and Reliability,Leibniz Universität Hannover (LUH), Germany

beer@irz.uni-hannover.de

Prof. Beer obtained Masters degree (1995) and Doctoral degree (2001) from TU Dresden. He is currently a professor and headofthe Institute for Risk and Reliability at LUH (full-time), guest professor at Tongji University (part-time) and professor at the University of Liverpool (part-time). Before the present position, he has held academic positions at Rice University, TU Dresden, National University of Singapore, and University of Liverpool. He serves as the associate editor of the ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems (Part A and Part B) and International Journal of Reliability and Safety. He is the editorial members of many other reputable international journals such as Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, Structural Safety, Engineering Structures and Computers and Structures. He is the chair of the committee on Probability and Statistics in thePhysical Sciences C(PS)2 under the auspices of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability (2018-2020),the Co-Chair of Risk and Resilience Measurements Committee of Infrastructure Resilience Division of ASCE, etc.

Assoc. Prof. Pengfei Wei

Associate Professor, UQ&3R Group and Institute for Design and Protection of Equipments and Infrastructures, School of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University (NWPU), China

pengfeiwei@nwpu.edu.cn

Assoc. Prof. Wei obtained bachelor’s degree (2010) and doctoral degree (2015) from NWPU, all in flight vehicle engineering with specificdirection of Reliability Engineering. He is awarded the Humboldt Fellowship for postdoctoral researchers, granted by which, he conductedcollaborative research at LUH from 2018 to 2020 with Prof. Beer. Since 2015, he is an associate professor at School of Mechanics, CivilEngineering and Architecture of NWPU. He serves as an editorial member of the international journal of Reliability Engineering and System Safety. He is the principal investigators of three ongoing projects (a Sino-Germany mobility program co-hosted with Prof. Beer andtwo NSFC grants). He won the Second Prize of National Science and Technology Progress (2019, ranked 10) and the Second prize ofScience and Technology of Shaanxi Province (2016, ranked 4th). His research interests include Uncertainty quantification, risk, reliability, and resilience of engineering structures and complex systems, as well as Bayesian Numerical Methods with application in computational mechanics.

Keynote Lecture 1: Quantifying and understanding uncertainty in operational modal analysis

Prof. Ivan Au

Professor, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

ivanau@ntu.edu.sg

Dr Au obtained BEng and MPhil from the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and PhD (2001) from the California Institute ofTechnology, all in civil engineering. Before the present position at NTU, he has held academic positions at NTU, City University of HongKong and University of Liverpool. Currently he is also visiting professor at Tokyo City University.

Dr Au performs fundamental and applied research in engineering reliability methods and structural health monitoring. He has developedan advanced Monte Carlo method called Subset Simulation that has found applications in uncertainty propagation and rare eventsimulation in different disciplines. See monograph ‘Engineering Risk Assessment with Subset Simulation’ (Wiley). Dr Au is experiencedin full-scale dynamic testing of structures and has consulted on structural vibration projects on long-span pedestrian bridges, large-spanfloors, super-tall buildings and microtremors for seismic microzonation. Recent research in this area focuses on Bayesian formulation,computation, practical implementation, and understanding of uncertainty for ambient modal identification and structural system identification of full-scale structures. See monograph ‘Operational Modal Analysis: Modelling, Bayesian Inference, Uncertainty Laws’ (Springer).

Dr Au chaired the ASCE Dynamics Committee (2014-17); is Associate Editor of Structural Health Monitoring (Sage), Earthquake Spectra (EERI/Sage) andJournal of Risk & Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering (ASCE-ASME); and is Editorial Board Member of Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics (Elsevier).

Keynote Lecture 2: Intelligent Risk Management by Artificial Intelligence

Prof. Enrico Zio

MINES ParisTech, PSL Research University, CRC, Sophia Antipolis, France

Energy Department, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy

enrico.zio@polimi.it

Prof. Enrico Zio received the MSc degree in nuclear engineering from Politecnico di Milano in 1991 and in mechanical engineeringfrom UCLA in 1995, and the Ph.D. degree in nuclear engineering from Politecnico di Milano and in probabilistic risk assessment atMIT in 1996 and 1998, respectively. He is currently full professor at the Centre for research on Risk and Crises (CRC) of Ecole deMines, ParisTech, PSL University, France, full professor and President of the Alumni Association at Politecnico di Milano, Italy,eminent scholar at Kyung Hee University, Republic of Korea, distinguished guest professor at Tsinghua University, Beijing, China,adjunct professor at City University of Hong Kong, Beihang University and Wuhan University.

In 2020, he has been awarded the prestigious Humboldt Research Award from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, one theworld's most prestigious research awards across all scientific disciplines. In 2021, he has been nominated Ambassador of the 4TUCentre for Resilience Engineering (4TU RE), the knowledge centre in Resilience Engineering of the four universities of technologyin the Netherlands (Delft University of Technology, Eindhoven University of Technology, University of Twente and WageningenUniversity and Research). Still in 2021, he has been named Fellow of the of the Prognostics & Health Management Society a worldrecognized scientist in the area of reliability centered, condition based and predictive maintenance.

His research focuses on the modeling of the failure-repair-maintenance behavior of components and complex systems, for the analysis of their reliability, maintainability, prognostics, safety, vulnerability, resilience and security characteristics, and on the development and use of Monte Carlo simulation methods, artificial intelligence techniques and optimization heuristics. He is author and co-author of seven books and more than 500 papers on international journals, Chairman and Co-Chairman of several international Conferences, associate editor of several international journals and referee of more than 20.

Keynote Lecture 3:Risk based SHM and population-based SHM

Prof. Keith Worden

Professor, Dynamic Research Group (DRG) Academic leader, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Sheffield, UK,

K.Worden@sheffield.ac.uk

Prof. Worden began academic life as a theoretical physicist, with a degree from York University and a PhD in MechanicalEngineering from Heriot-Watt University eventually followed. A period of research at Manchester University led to anappointment at the University of Sheffield in 1995, where he has happily remained since. His main focus is on the applicationof ideas from signal processing and machine learning to problems in structural dynamics including: nonlinear dynamics andsystem identification, structural health and condition monitoring and uncertainty analysis. Particular interests at the momentinclude Bayesian methods and population-based structural health monitoring. His initial application domain was aerospaceindustry, but that has widened to include civil infrastructure and energy, with a particular focus on wind energy systems at themoment.

Keynote Lecture 4:An introductory overview of the survival signature for system reliability

Prof. Frank Coolen

Professor, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, UK

frank.coolen@durham.ac.uk

Frank Coolen completed a first degree (comparable to MSc) in Mathematical Engineering at Eindhoven University of Technology(The Netherlands) in 1990, followed by PhD (1994) in Mathematics, also at Eindhoven. Throughout his studies, he specialized inStatistics and Operations Research, with particular interest in Reliability Theory. He then moved to the University of Durham (UK),Department of Mathematical Sciences, where he still works as Professor of Statistics. One main area of his research is StatisticalMethodology, in particular he is the founder and main developer of Nonparametric Predictive Inference, a frequentist inferencemethodology based on few modelling assumptions, enabled through the use of imprecise probability to quantify uncertainty. Afurther main area of research is Reliability Theory, where among other contributions he proposed the survival signature for systemreliability, a major tool which simplifies quantification of reliability for large systems. Most of his works are joint with his wife andcollaborator Tahani Coolen-Maturi. Their joint research group consists of many PhD students, and they frequently welcome short-term and long-term visitors to Durham. He has supervised over 20 PhD students to completion at Durham, and has co-supervised several more around theworld. Frank is on editorial boards of 9 academic journals and frequently serves in committees for international conferences and panels for international research funding organisations. He has (co-)authored over 300 papers, most of them in international journals.

Keynote Lecture 5: Decision-theoretic sensitivity measures for reliability assessmentof engineering systems

Prof. Dr. Daniel Straub

Professor, Engineering Risk Analysis Group Leader,TU München, Germany

straub@tum.de

Daniel Straub is Professor and Group Leader at the Engineering Risk Analysis group at Technical University of Munich (TUM). His workis centered on developing physics-based stochastic models and methods for decision support in infrastructure, environmental andgeneral engineering systems, with a particular focus on Bayesian techniques and decision analysis for risk and reliability analysis.Daniel is particularly interested in linking fundamental research to application-specific challenges. He is developing novel models andalgorithms for reliability assessment, data analysis, decision, risk and sensitivity analysis. Concurrently, he works successfully withpartners in multiple industries, including infrastructure engineering, offshore and marine engineering, geotechnical engineering, naturalhazards, automotive as well as aero- and astronautical engineering. He is active in multiple professional organizations and codecommittees, and in the editorial boards of the leading journals in engineering reliability and risk.His awards include the ETHSilbermedaille and the Early Achievement Research Award of IASSAR. He is also an Honorary Professor at the University of Aberdeen,UK.

Keynote Lecture 6: Reliability Estimation, Sensitivity Analysis and Optimal Design of Stochastic Linear Dynamical Systems

Prof. Marcos Valdebenito

Professor, Faculty of Engineering and Sciences at Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Viña del Mar, Chile

marcos.valdebenito@uai.cl

Marcos Valdebenito is full professor of the Faculty of Engineering and Sciences at Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Viña del Mar, Chile.In 2016, he received the prestigious K.J. Bathe Award for the best paper published in Computers & Structures in the years 2014and 2015 by an author below the age of 40. In 2018, he was awarded a“Fellowship for Experienced Researchers”from theHumboldt Foundation. His main research interest is the development of strategies for uncertainty quantification in computationalmechanics. Within this broad field, his particular research interests are reliability assessment by means of advanced simulationmethods, stochastic finite elements, reliability-based optimization and fuzzy analysis.

Technical Program

Day 1: 14:30-20:30, Friday, November 5, 2021, Beijing Time

Day 2: 14:30-21:40, Saturday, November 6, 2021, Beijing Time

For details, see attached file. Besides the six keynote lectures, there are also nine invited lectures from outstanding young researchers, and seven student lectures. All the information can be found in the attached workshop programme.

Instructions for Speakers and Audiences

All the lectures will be given via a teleconferencing system using Tencent Meeting app (for Chinese partictipants) or VooV Meeting app (for participants outside of China), with the same virtual conference room information. The room information for the two days are given below.

November 5	Meeting Topic: Sino-German Workshop on Reliability of Complex Systems, Nov 5 Meeting ID: 836 587 421 Meeting Password: 1105 https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/GBYWQ7iIJZPW
November 6	Meeting Topic: Sino-German Workshop on Reliability of Complex Systems, Nov 6 Meeting ID: 191 900 348 Meeting Password: 1106 https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/q5N20etvtsbG